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☆ CNN Poll: Americans still broadly oppose overturning Roe; they’re less united on what abortion laws should look like
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Roughly half of US adults, 49%, want to see federal politicians work to enshrine abortion access nationally, while 37% say abortion laws should be left to states, and 14% call for nationwide restrictions. The poll comes in the wake of two years of largely state-level skirmishes over abortion laws following the overturn of Roe – political fights with tangible consequences for residents’ access to abortion in those states. The share who view their state’s abortion laws as too restrictive rises to 43% in the states where abortion is currently legal with gestational limits of 6-18 weeks, and to 52% in the states where it is banned. Among those who disapprove of overturning Roe, about two-thirds (64%) in states with gestational limits and three-quarters (74%) in states where abortion is banned find their state’s laws too restrictive. The CNN poll was conducted by SSRS from April 18-23 among a random national sample of 1,212 adults drawn from a probability-based panel, including 967 registered voters.

Persons: Roe, Wade, Dobbs, shouldn’t, state’s, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Laws, they’d, Biden, aren’t, he’s, he’ll, Trump, SSRS, CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta, Ed Wu Organizations: CNN, SSRS, Jackson, Health Organization, White Evangelical, Arizona Supreme, Republican, GOP, Biden, Trump, Democratic, Surveys Locations: Arizona, Florida , Maryland, New York

☆ CNN Poll: Trump maintains lead over Biden in 2024 matchup as views on their presidencies diverge
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-28 | by ( Jennifer Agiesta | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Overall, 92% of Republicans call Trump’s time in office a success, while just 73% of Democrats say Biden’s has been a success so far. Among independents, 51% say Trump’s presidency was successful, while only 37% see Biden’s as a success. Those voters who say the economy is deeply important break heavily for Trump in a matchup against Biden, 62% to 30%. In the Biden vs. Trump matchup, the poll finds Biden faring worse than in previous CNN polls among the youngest voters, trailing Trump by a 51%-to-40% margin among voters younger than 35. But the poll finds that Biden voters and Trump voters largely just don’t understand each other.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Biden’s, Trump, That’s, Trump’s, it’s, Biden, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Cornel, Jill Stein, Kennedy, Stein, SSRS, CNN’s Ariel Edwards, Levy, Ed Wu Organizations: CNN, SSRS, Biden, Capitol, Republicans, Trump, Supreme Court, Hamas, Democratic, GOP, Cornel West, Green Party, Fox News, Pew Research, Surveys Locations: Israel, Gaza, Washington, Trump

☆ CNN Poll: Few think Trump is being treated the same as other defendants
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Jennifer Agiesta | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

CNN —As the first criminal prosecution of a former American president began just 13% nationwide feel Donald Trump is being treated the same as other criminal defendants, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS finds. Most of the country was divided over whether he is being treated more harshly (34%) or more leniently (34%) than other defendants. Most Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say Trump is being treated more leniently than other defendants by the criminal justice system (61%), while Republicans and Republican-leaning independents largely say he’s being treated more harshly than others (67%). A broad majority of Democratic-aligned Americans say Trump’s behavior during the trial thus far has been inappropriate (72%), though Republicans haven’t leapt to his defense. Only 46% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents say Trump’s conduct has been appropriate, with 15% saying it’s been inappropriate and 39% that they haven’t heard enough to say.

Persons: Donald Trump, SSRS, Stormy Daniels, Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, Honig, there’s, it’s, haven’t, CNN’s Ariel Edwards, Levy, Ed Wu Organizations: CNN, Republican, Trump, Biden, Capitol, Republican Party, Democratic, Republicans Locations: American

☆ GOP leaders pursue new lawsuits over 2024 election rules – including attacking methods of voting they want supporters to use
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Fredreka Schouten | Tierney Sneed | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

“What he has said is that we would like ultimately there to only be voting on Election Day. Republican attorneys have filed an assortment of lawsuits across the county that vary in both what types of election rules they target and how seriously election law experts believe the case should be taken. The legal fight against mail voting has taken GOP lawyers to states beyond the typical presidential battlegrounds. In addition to the case targeting Mississippi’s post-election day mail ballot receipt deadline, Republicans filed a lawsuit challenging the major expansion of mail voting enacted by New York lawmakers last year. To arrive at the claim that the states’ voter rolls are bloated, Republicans are using a formula that has previously been rebuked in federal court.

Persons: Donald Trump, baselessly, Trump, Mike Johnson, “, ” Michael Whatley, that’s, ” Whatley, Whatley –, –, Rick Hasen, don’t, ” Hasen, Derek Muller, ” Muller, litigators don’t, ”, Justin Levitt, Muller, CNN’s Ariel Edwards, Levy, David Wright Organizations: CNN, Republican, Republican National Committee, Mississippi Republican Party, Magnolia, GOP, Republicans, Democrats, Trump, Trump’s, Fox News, Republican Party, RNC, University of Notre Dame, Fox, New, National Conference of State Legislatures, Pew Research Center, Democratic, Pew, The New, The New York City Council, Vermont, Loyola Law School, Biden White Locations: Magnolia State, Pennsylvania, Ohio , Georgia, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin, “, California, Colorado, Hawaii , Nevada , Oregon , Utah , Vermont, Washington, Mississippi, New York, Michigan , Wisconsin , Ohio, Arizona, New York City, United States, The New York, – Nevada, Michigan, Nevada

☆ Why is there nostalgia for the Trump economy in the battleground states?
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-03 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Yet those numbers are reversed when asked to rate the state’s economy. In Wisconsin, negative views of the national economy outweigh positive ones by 16 points, while positive views of the state economy outweigh negative ones by 17 points. Across these battleground states, 46% of registered voters said their personal financial situation is headed in the right direction. Now, more than half of registered voters in the Wall Street Journal poll of battleground states said they either strongly or somewhat approve of the job Trump did as president. Biden is neck-and-neck with Trump among registered voters in those seven swing states on the question of protecting democracy.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Larry Summers, Summers, Biden, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Edwards, “ People’s, ”, It’s, Trump, Biden’s, Joe, Jill Biden, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, “ He’s, ” Jill Biden, Will, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Sanders “, George W, – Trump’s, Bush Organizations: CNN — Voters, Wall Street, Biden, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Gallup, Journal, Street, CBS, Vermont, White, Big Pharma, Medicare, CNN, Republican, Trump, Capitol Locations: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina , Nevada , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina, brag, Iraq

☆ Why student loan forgiveness remains a key issue for the Biden campaign
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-30 | by ( Katie Lobosco | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Still, the Biden campaign sees student debt forgiveness as a winning issue. The administration is working on developing another student loan forgiveness program, relying on a different legal authority this time. Student debt policy has come a long wayStill, student loan borrower advocates agree that forgiveness for nearly 4 million people is worth acknowledging. Before the 2016 presidential campaign, broad student debt cancellation was not an issue that candidates usually campaigned on. Cole also served on the Department of Education’s rulemaking committee tasked with developing the new student loan forgiveness program.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, It’s, –, ”, Braxton Brewington, “, ” Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, we’ll, it’s Joe Biden, Seth Schuster, Trump Democratic Sen, Elizabeth Warren –, Betsy DeVos, “ Joe Biden, ” Warren, DeVos, he’s, The Trump, it’s, There’s, that’s, Brewington, Wisdom Cole, Cole, Jill Biden’s, ” Cole, Warren, CNN’s Ariel Edwards, Levy Organizations: Washington CNN, Supreme, Republican, Biden, Trump Democratic, CNN, Education Department, Corinthian Colleges, The, PSLF, Department of Education, NAACP Youth & College Division, Department, Education’s, State, Union, Black, KFF, NAACP Locations: California, United States, Massachusetts

☆ Why does Biden keep mentioning January 6? Because Trump won’t stop talking about it
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-16 | by ( Edward-Isaac Dovere | Steve Contorno | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +14 min

It’s Biden’s campaign aides who have been surprised how much that’s true. A running mate litmus testBiden aides say January 6 and the footage from it will be a central feature of their advertising campaigns, the convention and beyond. Trump, for his part, keeps talking about it and his aides aren’t really trying to stop him. About 56 percent of independent voters continue to believe Trump was largely responsible for it, virtually unchanged during that stretch. But Biden aides say that’s a big part of why the images and memories of January 6 itself are so important.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden, It’s, ”, Mike Donilon, “, We’re, ’, Kamala Harris, CNN —, reverberating, Biden, Jan, litmus, aren’t, Mike Pence, Elise Stefanik, Ohio Sen, J.D, Vance, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Ben Carson, Doug Burgum, Pence, Scott, Burgum, ’ Biden, didn’t, it’s, ” Donilon, there’s, Mike Johnson, Barry Loudermilk, That’s, Loudermilk, Matt Gaetz, Tim Burchett, Jeff Van Drew, insurrectionists, they’ll, Harris, Matt Barreto –, –, Barreto, ” Barreto, ” Biden, Kari Lake’s, denialism, Chris DeLuzio, —, ” DeLuzio, ” Will Rollins, Ken Calvert —, ” Rollins, Annie Grayer, Ariel Edwards, Levy Organizations: CNN, Capitol, Democratic, Biden, Trump, South, North Dakota Gov, Republicans, Trump voters, Washington Post, University of Maryland, White, Congressional Republicans, GOP, Republican, House Republican Conference, ”, Trump Republicans, Democratic National Committee, —, Democrat, Southern Californians, GOP Rep Locations: Wilmington, New York, Ohio, South Carolina, America, Charlottesville, Valley Forge, Georgia, Florida, Tennessee, New Jersey, Ukraine, Israel, U.S, Arizona, Pennsylvania

☆ Biden vs. Trump is set. What are the alternatives?
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

CNN —The Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump rematch is a presumptive reality after the president and former president both dominated Republican and Democratic primaries on Super Tuesday. Independent candidates. When Kennedy, West and the Green Party’s Stein were added into the question, things changed. Trump was still on top with 42%, Biden got 39%, Kennedy had 15%, West had 3% and Stein had 2%. Buzzy independent candidates have a tendency to lose support as Election Day nears.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, Hillary Clinton, Ralph Nader, Kanye West, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Cornel West, Sen, Joe Manchin, Ryan Clancy, Abby Phillip, you’ll, ” Clancy, Kennedy, Kanye, Trump, Here’s, ► He’s, Cornel West’s, Party’s Stein, Stein, Ariel Edwards, Levy, that’s, Ross Perot, Bill Clinton, Eva McKend’s, CNN Kennedy, Kennedy –, –, ” Matt Welch, CNN’s Michael Smerconish, Welch, Jake Tapper’s, CNN’s Kasie Hunt, Hunt debunks Organizations: CNN, Republican, Democratic, Super, Trump, Libertarian Party, Green Party, New, New Mexico Gov, Libertarian, Marquette University, West, Democrats, Biden, Democrat, White, Black, RFK Jr, “, of Columbia, Hunt debunks RFK Jr Locations: New Mexico, Florida, West Virginia, West, Wisconsin, ► Nevada, New Hampshire, Hawaii, Arizona, Georgia, Utah, Alaska , Oregon, South Carolina, New York, California

☆ Exit polls of this year’s Republican primaries show how Trump has reshaped the Republican Party
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | Tami Luhby | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Exit polls are a valuable tool to help understand primary voters’ demographic profile and political views. The share of Republican primary voters and caucusgoers holding these views about Trump’s fitness for office and the 2020 election varies from state to state, even as the dominant sentiment remains largely the same. Exit poll data this year finds GOP primary voters divided in their desired approach to abortion policy in a post-Roe v. Wade era. Trump has also racked up support among those primary voters who are the most acutely unhappy with the way things are going in the US. Exit polls for the Iowa Republican caucuses and the New Hampshire, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia and California Republican presidential primaries were conducted by Edison Research on behalf of the National Election Pool.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, they’d, Joe Biden’s, Nikki Haley, Biden’s, Haley, Trump, –, California –, MAGA, Wade, Biden Organizations: CNN —, GOP, Trump, South Carolina Gov, Republican, New Hampshire Republican, Election, Iowa GOP, Voters, Iowa Republican, California Republican, Edison Research, New, South Carolina Republican, North Carolina Republican, Virginia Republican Locations: – Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, California, Super, Iowa, New, California , Virginia

☆ Early exit polls: Most North Carolina and Virginia GOP primary voters would consider Trump fit for presidency if convicted
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

In South Carolina, about 41% of GOP primary voters described themselves as identifying with MAGA, with about one-third of New Hampshire GOP primary voters saying the same. Roughly 6 in 10 North Carolina GOP primary voters baselessly deny that President Joe Biden’s 2020 election win was legitimate, as do close to half of Virginia voters. About three-quarters of North Carolina GOP primary voters and roughly 6 in 10 Virginia GOP primary voters say they’d be satisfied to see Trump win the nomination. Most North Carolina and Virginia voters decided early on whom to back for president, according to the early exit polls. In North Carolina, about half of GOP primary voters made up their minds before 2024, with about one-fifth deciding in the final week.

Persons: Donald Trump, he’s, MAGA, Joe Biden’s, they’d Organizations: CNN, Republican, GOP, New, New Hampshire GOP, North Carolina GOP, Virginia GOP, Trump, Edison Research, North Carolina Republican, Virginia Republican, California Republican, California Senate Locations: Carolina, Virginia, North Carolina, That’s, South Carolina, New Hampshire, Iowa , New Hampshire, North, Carolina’s, California

☆ Exit polls: South Carolina Republican presidential primary
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-24 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

The electorate for the South Carolina Republican primary looked much more like the one for January’s Iowa caucuses than for the New Hampshire primary, the early exit poll found. As in Iowa, well over 4 in 10 South Carolina primary voters describe themselves as affiliated with the MAGA movement. Exit polls are a valuable tool to help understand primary voters’ demographic profile and political views. The exit poll for South Carolina’s Republican presidential primary was conducted by Edison Research on behalf of the National Election Pool. It includes 1,990 interviews with Republican primary voters across 40 different polling places on Election Day.

Persons: Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, they’d, Haley –, –, MAGA, Joe Biden, Biden’s, Trump, Haley, Ron DeSantis Organizations: CNN, Republican, Voters, Trump, South Carolina Republican, New, South Carolina, Florida Gov, Haley, GOP, Trump . South, Trump . South Carolina GOP, South, Edison Research Locations: South Carolina, Iowa, New Hampshire, South, Trump ., Trump . South Carolina

☆ Biden calls on snack companies to stop shrinkflation ahead of Super Bowl
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-11 | by ( Eva Rothenberg | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

New York CNN —Joe Biden doesn’t want corporate greed to eat into your Super Bowl snack spread. “The American public is tired of being played for suckers,” said Biden in the video. He called on companies “to put a stop to this,” but did not mention any actionable steps his administration would be taking. Biden also didn’t address the companies by name, although the video panned over snacks like Doritos, Wheat Thins and Gatorade, which were mentioned in Casey’s report. Another 13% who feel the economy is still in decline cite Biden or Democratic policies.

Persons: New York CNN — Joe Biden doesn’t, ”, Shrinkflation, Democratic Sen, Bob Casey of Pennsylvania, Biden, Wheat, SSRS, CNN’s Ariel Edwards, Levy Organizations: New, New York CNN, Twitter, Democratic, Gatorade, CNN, Democrats Locations: New York

☆ CNN Poll: Most Americans want verdict on Trump election subversion charges before 2024 vote
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-05 | by ( Jennifer Agiesta | Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

CNN —Most Americans want to see a verdict on the federal charges former President Donald Trump faces related to election subversion in 2020 before this year’s presidential election, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. About half of Americans, 48%, say it’s essential that a verdict is reached before the 2024 presidential election, and another 16% that they’d prefer to see one. Trump currently faces four separate criminal indictments, including federal charges related to his alleged efforts to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election. Among those who see a pre-election verdict in the federal Trump election subversion case as essential, just 35% express trust in the Supreme Court on election-related cases. About half (48%) of Americans say they’d favor Trump attempting a mass deportation of undocumented immigrants and 39% that they’d favor repealing and replacing the ACA.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Attorney Alvin Bragg, Stormy Daniels, It’s, he’ll, Joe Biden, Biden, he’s, Trump pardoning, SSRS, CNN’s Katelyn Polantz, Nicholas Anastácio Organizations: CNN, SSRS, Supreme, Trump, Capitol, Attorney, Mar, Republican Party, White, Republican, White House, Department of Justice, Democratic, Department, DOJ Locations: New York, Manhattan, Washington , DC, Florida, Georgia

Evidence of a strong economy has so far been lost on a general public that still feels the pinch of inflation and worries about the uncertainty of life in 2024. Signs of a thaw in public opinion, but pessimism still dominatesA new CNN poll shows Biden still has a lot of convincing to do: Perception of the economy remains deep under water. However, if hiring remains strong and inflation keeps falling, it may become easier for Biden to convince voters he’s doing a good job strengthening the economy. CNN’s polling editor Ariel Edwards-Levy notes that about half the country, 48%, thinks the economy remains in a downturn. Their letter is proof that the fact of a strong economy is felt, if at all, in different ways.

Persons: Phil, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Donald Trump, “, Trump, Ariel Edwards, Levy, that’s, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, ” Warren, Democratic Sens, John Hickenlooper, Jacky Rosen, Sheldon Whitehouse Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Trump, Federal, Fed, Democratic

☆ A Biden-Trump rematch would be mostly about Trump
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Zachary Wolf | Analysis Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Most Biden supporters (68%) said they would be casting their vote against Trump as opposed to just 32% who said it would be a vote to support Biden. It’s the opposite for registered voters supporting Trump; 60% said it would be a vote for Trump compared with 40% who would be casting a vote against Biden. For now, Trump has an edge; he gets the support of 49% of registered voters in CNN’s poll compared with 45% who back Biden. Trump’s roseMore Americans have an unfavorable opinion of Biden than have an unfavorable view of Trump in CNN’s poll. Concerns about Biden’s age stickThe most-cited concern about Trump among Republicans and Republican-leaning registered voters is his demeanor.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Donald Trump, SSRS, Trump, ”, Jennifer Agiesta, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Biden’s favorability, Trump’s, It’s, Haley, Nikki Haley, Jake Tapper, “ We’ve, ” Haley, Tapper, “, I’m, He’ll, he’ll, souring, it’s, Kamala Harris, Hillary Scholten, CNN’s Manu Raju, ” Scholten, Raju Organizations: CNN, Trump, Biden, Republican, Quinnipiac, Republicans, Democratic, Haley Republicans, South Carolina Gov, GOP, Republican Party, Teamsters, United Auto Workers, UAW, Michigan Democrat Locations: CNN’s, Agiesta, Quinnipiac, Iowa, New Hampshire, Trump, – Pennsylvania, Wisconsin , Michigan, Georgia, Arizona, Nebraska, Washington ,, Belt, Michigan, –, Israel, Gaza

☆ CNN Poll: Trump narrowly leads Biden in general election rematch
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Jennifer Agiesta | Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

CNN —With presidential primaries underway and a 2020 general election rematch seemingly the most likely outcome, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS shows former President Donald Trump narrowly ahead of President Joe Biden in what’s shaping up to be a close contest nationally. Broad majorities of Democrats and Republicans say they’d be satisfied if their party’s candidate won such a rematch. Still, a sizable minority of voters express a desire for another option if Biden and Trump are the nominees. Overall, 49% of registered voters say they would back Trump if an election between the two were held today, while 45% support Biden and 5% say they’d vote for someone else. Nikki Haley, holds a clear lead over Biden among voters nationwide in another hypothetical general election scenario: 52% support her compared with 39% for Biden.

Persons: SSRS, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, they’d, Trump, Biden, Trump’s, Nikki Haley, Haley, it’s, Israel Organizations: CNN, Republicans, Biden, Democratic, Trump, Republican, Democrats, GOP, South Carolina Gov, White, Trump . Republican, White House, Democratic Party Locations: Israel

☆ New Hampshire GOP primary electorate split between registered Republicans and undeclared voters in early CNN exit poll
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-23 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

CNN —The New Hampshire GOP primary electorate was relatively closely divided between voters registered as Republican and those registered as undeclared, the state’s term for independent voters, according to the initial results of CNN’s exit poll for the presidential primary. Trump voters and those backing former South Carolina Gov. Exit polls are a valuable tool to help understand primary voters’ demographic profile and political views. Issues driving votersAs in Iowa, New Hampshire’s Republican primary voters split closely between immigration and the economy as their top issues, with fewer citing abortion or foreign policy as their top concern. It includes 1,565 interviews with Republican primary voters across 40 different polling places.

Persons: Donald Trump, he’s, they’d, Nikki Haley, —, “, Trump, Haley, MAGA, Joe Biden’s Organizations: CNN, The New, The New Hampshire GOP, Trump, Republican, South Carolina Gov, Republican Party, Trump voters, New, Edison Research Locations: The New Hampshire, Iowa, New Hampshire

☆ Trump escalates attacks on Haley as he seeks New Hampshire knockout
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Eric Bradner | Kristen Holmes | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

On Wednesday morning, Trump attacked Haley again, posting an altered photo of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton with Haley’s face superimposed on it. Those ads have attacked Haley on immigration, something Trump’s team views as a top issue for Republicans in New Hampshire. During a rally in Atkinson, New Hampshire, on Tuesday, Trump accused Haley of “artificially boosting her numbers” by appealing to “Democrats and liberals to infiltrate” the GOP primary. Only Republicans and undeclared voters can participate in the New Hampshire GOP primary, and the deadline for Democrats to change their registration passed months ago. Rather than attacking Trump directly, Haley has lumped her former boss together with President Joe Biden — taking swipes at their ages.

Persons: Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Haley, Nimarata Nikki Randhawa, Trump, Barack Obama, Obama, Hussein, Hillary Clinton, “ Haley ”, “ Hillary, ”, Ron DeSantis, “, Vivek Ramaswamy’s, Ramaswamy, Chris Christie, —, Christie, Joe Biden —, “ You’ve, Biden, ” Haley, DeSantis, He’s, CNN’s Dana Bash, I’m, ” CNN’s Terence Burlij, David Wright, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Ebony Davis, Kate Sullivan, Alison Main Organizations: CNN, Republican, South, New Hampshire —, Florida Gov, Republicans, Trump, GOP, Social Security, United Nations, New Hampshire Republican, New, New Hampshire GOP, New Jersey Gov, CNN New, ABC News Locations: New, South Carolina, New Hampshire, States, Bamberg , South Carolina, Trump’s, Iowa, Haley, Tuesday’s New Hampshire, Granite State, Atkinson , New Hampshire, New Jersey, CNN New Hampshire, Bretton Woods , New Hampshire, Florida

☆ Turnout drops and voters get more conservative in Trump’s decisive Iowa victory
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Zachary Wolf | Analysis Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Two-thirds of Republican voters don’t think President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory was legitimate, despite all evidence to the contrary. Iowa caucusgoers, unlike most of the country, overwhelmingly support banning most or all abortions nationwide. Iowa voters could be asked on the general election ballot to make clear there is no right to abortion guaranteed in their state’s constitution. While Trump held a commanding lead among Iowa caucusgoers without college degrees, college graduates were more closely divided among Trump, former South Carolina Gov. But she made clear this week that she would ultimately support Trump if he’s the nominee.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, MAGA, Trump, Joe Biden’s, caucusgoers, Biden, Sen, Ted Cruz, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, ”, Republican caucusgoers, it’s, Jack Smith, Kim Reynolds, “ I’m, Chris Sununu, Haley, Sununu, CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, he’s, “, – there’s, Chris Christie, DeSantis Organizations: CNN, Iowa Republican, GOP, Republican, Trump, Republicans, Voters, Iowa’s Republican, Iowa, GOP CNN, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, White, Iowa Gov, Fox News, New, New Hampshire Gov, New Jersey Gov Locations: Iowa, Ted Cruz of Texas, Caucusgoers, Washington, DC, New Hampshire, New Jersey

☆ Trump leads Biden in key swing states, new polling finds
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-05 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | Paul Leblanc | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

CNN —Former President Donald Trump holds an edge over President Joe Biden in a series of hypothetical matchups among registered voters in four key swing states, new polling from The New York Times and Siena College shows. In Nevada, a state Biden narrowly carried in the 2020 presidential election, Trump boasts 52% support to Biden’s 41%. Trump also tops Biden in Georgia, a state that was central to his ploy to overturn the last presidential election, with 49% to Biden’s 43%. Trump leads Biden in Arizona, too, with 49% to the president’s 44%. In Pennsylvania, a state Trump won in 2016 but Biden recaptured in 2020, Trump is at 48% to Biden’s 44%.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, Trump, Dean Phillips, Kevin Munoz, ”, midterms, Biden’s, MAGA, MAGA Republicans ’, We’ll, ” Munoz, ” “, ” Spencer Weiss Organizations: CNN, The New York Times, Siena College, Trump, Biden, Republican, Minnesota Rep, Democratic, MAGA Republicans, ’, GOP Locations: Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Michigan, In Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, In Wisconsin

☆ CNN Poll: Americans overwhelmingly side with autoworkers in ongoing union strike
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

CNN —Americans overwhelmingly side with unionized autoworkers in their ongoing strike against major car companies, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS finds, even as most say that elected officials should steer clear of labor disputes. Support for the striking workers is particularly robust among Democrats (56% sympathize strongly), members of union households (57%) and self-described liberals (61%). The effects of the United Auto Workers union strike have been relatively limited for American consumers so far. There’s a slightly more pronounced racial divide, with 79% of White Americans saying things have gotten harder financially, compared with 68% of Americans of color who feel the same. A 64% majority of Americans say that the GOP-led House committees investigating Biden are mostly using the investigations to gain political advantage, compared with 36% who say they are mostly conducting objective investigations.

Persons: SSRS, who’ve, shouldn’t, Joe Biden, autoworkers, Republicans –, Donald Trump, Biden’s, Biden Organizations: CNN, autoworkers, United Auto Workers, General Motors, Ford, Jeep, Dodge, Chrysler, GOP, Republicans, Democratic, Democratic Party, United Auto Workers union, Big, White, Republican Locations: Michigan

☆ Amid House leadership crisis, opinions of Republican Party and its congressional leaders have worsened among Americans
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( Jennifer Agiesta Ariel Edwards-Levy | Jennifer Agiesta | Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —The public’s impressions of the Republican Party and its leaders in Congress have worsened amid a leadership crisis in the House of Representatives, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS, with Republican-aligned Americans divided over how the GOP should govern. A 56% majority of Republican-aligned voters who back former President Donald Trump say they approve of McCarthy’s ouster, compared with just 37% of those not supporting Trump in the primary. That division is evident across multiple measures of the Republican Party’s performance or of views on its path forward. Asked about Republican leaders in Congress, 51% of Trump supporters approve of their work, while just 35% of other Republican-aligned voters feel the same. Among the public generally, impressions of the Republican Party are deeply negative.

Persons: Joe Biden, Kevin McCarthy, Matt Gaetz, CNN Republicans ’, Donald Trump, they’re, Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy, SSRS Organizations: CNN, Republican Party, SSRS, Republican, White, Republicans, Florida, CNN Republicans, Trump, Trump Republican, GOP, Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, Biden, Democratic, Democratic Party, Democrats, Surveys Locations: Congress, Washington, Ukraine

Overall, Trump is the first choice of 39% of likely GOP primary voters in the first-in-the-nation primary state. That lags a bit behind his performance nationally, where Republican primary polling routinely finds Trump with majority support. Pence is the only candidate besides Christie with majority unfavorable views among likely GOP primary voters in New Hampshire (62% unfavorable). Few likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters raise serious doubts about Trump when asked to name their top concern about him as a candidate. Results among 845 likely Republican primary voters have an error margin of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points; it is larger for subgroups.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Ron DeSantis, He’s, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley, Chris Christie, Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Mike Pence, who’ve, Trump’s, they’ve, Christie, Pence, Asa Hutchinson, Ramaswamy, Haley, Scott, DeSantis Organizations: CNN, University of New, Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, New, New Jersey Gov, GOP, Trump voters, Republican, Arkansas Gov, Trump, New Hampshire Republican, Ukraine, government’s Department of Education, CNN New, University of New Hampshire Survey Locations: New Hampshire, University of New Hampshire, New Jersey, Carolina, CNN New Hampshire, Hampshire

☆ Why a 2024 Trump-Biden rematch might be more of a referendum on Trump than Biden
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-10 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

But a potential rematch between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump could upend that dynamic, polling suggests, with most voters saying their decisions would come down largely to their feelings about Trump. In CNN’s exit poll following the last presidential election, when Trump was the sitting incumbent and Biden the challenger, 54% of voters cited Trump as the bigger factor in their vote. Anti-Trump voters – Biden voters who are motivated largely by antipathy for Trump – make up another 30% of the potential electorate. While 89% in this group agree that any Republican would be better than Biden, just 64% say Trump would be better than any Democrat. Nearly 1 in 5 anti-Trump voters say they’d back Haley (18%) or former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie (19%) over Biden.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Trump’s, it’s, Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, George W, Bush, John Kerry, they’d, –, Roe, Wade, They’re, they’re, Nikki Haley, Haley, Chris Christie, SSRS Organizations: CNN, Biden, Trump, Republican, Voters, GOP, Pro, Trump voters, Democratic, Trump voters – Biden, Trump –, Trump Biden, South Carolina Gov, Republicans Locations: Trump, New Jersey

CNN —President Joe Biden faces continued headwinds from broadly negative job ratings overall, widespread concerns about his age and decreased confidence among Democratic-aligned voters, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. There is no clear leader in a potential rematch between Biden and former President Donald Trump, who is widely ahead in the GOP primary. And nearly half of registered voters (46%) say that any Republican presidential nominee would be a better choice than Biden in 2024. Record low share of Americans say Biden inspires confidenceViews of Biden’s performance in office and on where the country stands are deeply negative in the new poll. Despite voters’ strong opinions toward Trump, Biden fares no better against any other Republican hopefuls tested in the poll.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, –, Ronald Reagan, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, they’re, Robert F, Kennedy, Jr, Marianne Williamson, ”, “, CNN’s, Trump, they’d, Ron DeSantis, Mike Pence, Tim Scott, Scott, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, Chris Christie, Christie, Haley, SSRS Organizations: CNN, Democratic, SSRS, GOP, Republican, South Carolina Gov, Trump, Biden, Democrat, Voters, Whites, Independent, Capitol, White, Republicans

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